After a nailbiter of a first round, the current government’s Minister of the Economy Sergio Massa and libertarian outsider Javier Milei are the only ones left standing in the race for the Argentinian presidency. Polls are showing a dead heat between the two. But then again, polls have been badly wrong in this cycle. This note dives deeper into what we know and what we don’t know about the race.

Public opinion continues to shape and constrain house building in the UK. We explore which arguments affect public support for house building and why.

On Saturday, Australians will vote in the historic ‘Indigenous Voice’ referendum, a Labor campaign promise that aims to create an advisory body of Indigenous Australians in the Australian legislative process. Despite Labor officially backing ‘Yes’ and the Liberals campaigning for ‘No’, the referendum splits the supporters of both major parties. Not unlike Brexit, as British readers will already have noted. But how accurate is that parallel?

In a 15-country study, we examined whether exposure to inflation-related reporting and rising prices had moved the dial on the understanding of inflation in the UK and across the world.

Joe Slater’s appearance on BBC Radio 4’s “How to Win a Campaign” on the role of data in building a successful political campaign.

Libertarian outsider candidate Javier Milei’s victory in the Argentinian presidential primaries was a shock to most observers. Within days, Milei skyrocketed from being considered a dark horse to the favourite to win the race for the presidency. So will Milei win? What would that mean for Argentina? And where does Milei’s support come from? We answer these questions with help from our own poll of Argentinian likely voters.

The Polish parliamentary elections of October 15th will be a tight race with large consequences for the EU. Will the United Right (PiS) secure a third term? Will Donald Tusk’s opposition take Poland back to a more pro-EU course? Or will, as many analysts expect, there be a hung Parliament?

Foreign investment often evokes strong visceral reactions based on historical associations or geopolitical tensions. To surmount these challenges we propose five reputation levers businesses can pull to build trust and support, connect more closely with the public, and achieve communications cut-through.

Our joint paper presents research we’ve conducted in the US, UK, Argentina and Nigeria on attitudes to foreign direct investment (FDI) generally, and energy investment specifically, providing practical advice to businesses seeking to understand opinion, develop and communicate and mobilise support behind strategic investments.

With less than six months to go until the Republican Iowa caucus, the presidential primary race is heating up. Although early polling shows a dominant lead for Donald Trump, this note explores whether any of the other candidates could be a serious challenger to the former president.

Following major losses in the regional elections in late May, Spanish Prime Minister and leader of the Socialists (PSOE) Pedro Sánchez called a snap general election set for 23rd July.

In Rishi Sunak’s first electoral test as Prime Minister, the Conservatives suffered major losses in local elections across England. Labour, the Liberal Democrats and the Green Party were the main beneficiaries, gaining over a thousand councillors between them.

In the wake of several government scandals, not least the Tempi train disaster, Greek governing party New Democracy are struggling to gain momentum in the run-up to the May elections.

In the middle of a deep economic crisis, Turkish president Erdogan faces his toughest electoral challenge in 20 years. Political anger is brewing, opposition parties have teamed up against him, and on top of that, he faces strong criticism over his handling of the destructive earthquakes that hit Southern Turkey last month.

In Sanna Marin’s first election as incumbent PM, her Social Democrats are struggling to gain momentum in the polls. What is the probability of another Scandinavian government (after Sweden) flipping from centre-left to centre-right? And what coalitions are most likely to form after the elections?

Can Labour’s Peter Obi break up the APC and PDP’s grip on power? A data-led analysis of the race to Aso Rock.

What are the different views of Britain's political tribes on social housing?

Voters who flit between right and left are hard to pin down but they’re often the ones who regard the PM as authentic.

The Scottish Parliament’s electoral system is infamously complex. More than two decades after it was introduced, its effects are poorly-understood by voters and politicians alike.

"In general, do you trust other people?" You wouldn't think someone's answer to such an innocuous question would tell you much about their political views. But it does.